Two interesting articles in the Herald this morning. Both a refreshing change from the largely silly and scaremongering level of the debate about Auckland’s future in that publication and other parts of the mainstream media recently. 

The first is about the future of the Port including its impact on the city. Great to see a private logistics company stating the obvious about the port:

Mainfreight boss Don Braid says better rail and use of an inland port should restrict the need to reclaim more of the Waitemata Harbour.

Mr Braid, the Herald Business Leader of the Year for 2011, is unconvinced by the case from the board and management of Ports of Auckland on the need to fill in more of the harbour.

And

Mr Braid said he was frustrated at how reliant the port was on moving containers by truck and the lack of rail.

“If you are running an efficient port with an efficient transport network feeding it in and out, then you have a very good chance of being able to use the inland port to help with the overflow and restrict the additional land the port might well need.”

Very hard to see this as anything other than good sense and good business. Land in South Auckland has got to be way cheaper than trying to make the stuff out in the harbour. And there clearly is more capacity on the rail line, although the future amplification of the Eastern Line must be protected, especially as passenger demand on the AK network is showing no sign of halting its dramatic climb.

Also he makes the second obvious point that a level of proper government led strategic control needs to be exercised over this whole industry, to co-ordinate our investments in this vital area. Let’s hope ideological prejudice doesn’t prevent this equally sensible idea from being exercised:

He also wanted to see a national port strategy to stop spreading limited capital over 13 ports “fighting for a little piece of the action” and an end to Auckland councils “raping and pillaging” port dividends instead of reinvesting in greater efficiency.

I’m still struggling with the mixed messages out of the Port company, which I have to say looks increasingly poorly run. I mean which is it?: Either the port is being run out of business by evil unions and the under-bidding of Tauranga or it’s booming like a Chinese subway and they demand to be able to pave the entire harbour….? Such a missed opportunity that proposed merger with Tauranga in 2006, then there would at least have been co-ordination for surely the upper North Island is effectively one market for the movement of goods at this scale.

Interesting though that council ownership doesn’t seem to help much, in fact may muddy the council’s thinking and actions. Torn between wanting that return on investment, and doing right by the city and citizens….?

The second is more problematic. On the one hand Michael Barnett of the business owners union appears to be completely on the money, especially if you only read the headline:

Len Brown’s vision needs funding, ideas and urgency

I fully agree, 2030 is a ridiculous wait for the urgent need to balance Auckland’s distorted transport infrastructure pattern. To still only really have road based transport as the one widespread network in our biggest and growing city would be a disaster in 10 years let alone 18. Len Brown is showing every sign of being worn down by relentless opposition to his sensible vision for Auckland. Especially the bullying obstruction from the government, who of course jealously hold all of our taxes, the money required for intergenerational investment. His Anniversary Day speech was timid, he’s exhibiting a bit of Stockholm Syndrome I’m afraid, getting very defensive. So isn’t this good?:

Mayor Brown’s estimate that we have until 2030 to get an integrated transport solution in place to avoid unacceptable day-long congestion has to be seriously questioned. There are major bottleneck sections in the motorway network – for example at Mt Wellington and Constellation Drive.

Well no. Because Barnett’s idea of an integrated transport solution is simply more and more motorways. He goes on to say:

NZTA commissioned research in 2007 for the east-west corridor indicated that if a strategic solution is not in place by 2020, the whole route will be gridlocked most working days. Yet there are no firm plans or funding to get the project under way.

And finally the killer; the line that has been used again and again by the the road building lobby for years in Auckland: completion.

The point: The economic and social benefits of the major roading investments Auckland has made over the past 15 years will not be realised until these gaps and weak links in the network are tidied.

Really Mr B, will there ever come a time when you and your members will agree that we’re done here, that to build anymore motorways would only trap every individual and business deeper into auto-dependency, congestion, and uncompetitive transport costs: Time to build that long planned complementary rapid transit network to free up the existing and lavish motorway system? Because it is clear to any detached observer of Auckland’s motorways that the last missing link, the last gap in the network, is now consented and about to be built: the Waterview connection. Especially when you add all the millions of dollars of extra work also funded and occurring on SH1, and SH 16. No, to create an integrated transport network we need to urgently invest in everything else, and not spend anything much more on motorways. We have pretty much built nothing but motorways for 60 years in Auckland, many of them twice, and very little else. So to get to an integrated system we have to play catch-up with the other modes. It is absurd to believe that we could afford to spend to the degree that Barnett is urging.

And remember the investments that have been recently made in the RTN network, the Northern Busway and the rail system, are paying of handsomely: the busway is delaying the need for further huge spends across the harbour and rail use keeps booming: at an outrageous 384% since before Briotmart was opened. Again saving us from trying to expensively accommodate ever more cars onto our narrow isthmuth.Reading though and it is clear that Barnett is being more than a little sly, is he urging the government to get behind Brown’s programme?, to free up our transport capital to support the council’s wishes? Oh no. His real agenda is to say sweet words about the necessary public transport plans of the council but then to launch into a vast list of road projects that he knows have a far greater chance of being funded under this current government, simply because they are roads, not because of their relative value. Could it be that that Mr Barnett’s Forum and the lobby group NZ for Council Infrastructure Development that he quotes are really more interested in us funding everything on their lists for the sake of their members’ balance sheets than objectively having the city’s and the nation’s best interests at heart?

So yes it is time to fill in the missing gaps in this growing city’s infrastructure, but those gaps are not road shaped. For example, if we need more connection across the Waitemata Harbour it must be by the modes not currently supported by the infrastructure. We need to be able to walk and cycle. But most importantly this missing link in the RTN network does need filling and happily this means saving billions of dollars compared to building yet more car lanes across the water. See this analysis and do the math Mr Barnett: next Harbour Crossing. Because surely your members can build other things than just motorways?

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34 comments

  1. Someone really should ask Michael Barnett what the “completed motorway network” will be. We’ve been talking forever about how the Waterview Connection is so important because it will “complete the network”. And now he goes and dreams up $15 billion of further motorway projects.

    Where does it end Michael? When the whole of Auckland is paved in concrete?

  2. Interesting how Barnett accuses the mayor of “cherry picking” the CBD Loop from a long list of (supposedly) necessary projects. Where has he been for the last 18 months? Has he simply missed the fact that this has long been identified as the number 1 project for Auckland?

  3. I’ve always felt that Michael Barnett is secretly against the CRL, he just doesn’t publicly say it. I got this impression from his commentary on the TVNZ Q & A programme last year when Len Brown was interviewed.

  4. Mr Patrick, I like your style. Some comments:

    1. An argument could be made (as you indeed touch on) that less, not more, government involvement in ports would stimulate consolidation and ultimately better allocation of scarce capital (that is one of the key roles of the private sector, I thought).
    2. Mr Braid is not especially independent on these matters. First, MainFreight may benefit from the double-handling created by inland ports. Second, MainFreight’s depot in South Auckland is located adjacent to the rail line (it even has it’s on rail sidings); so they may be better positioned than other trucking companies to benefit from a shift in port traffic to rail. He’s no doubt a smart cookie ;).
    3. 384% of nothing is nothing. Stated differently, Auckland’s passenger rail network has started from such a woefully low base that I doubt whether it’s had any meaningful impact on traffic volumes to this point. To put the figures in context, 200,000 vehicles per day travel over the Newmarket Viaduct. That’s about 7 times the number of people who use the entire rail network. Looking forward I think rail will start to relieve congestion – as electrification/EMUs creates a step-change in performance and capacity that gets people out of their cars. I’d just be wary of using percentage figures when the absolute numbers are, at this stage, relatively small.

    1. The volumes point on a daily basis may be true, but rail takes key (long trips to city in particular) trips off the road network at a key time.

      1. Hmmm … the average trip length for vehicles on the Newmarket Viaduct will also be relatively long, especially when consider the number that head to destinations way north/south.

    2. 1. Yes, possibly but only if there was consolidation- especially to one port company, but then there would be no competition. That didn’t happen earlier with AK + Tauranga. Strategic transport decisions being made at government level, like they do with road funding, a dangerous idea? I guess it depends how good they are?

      2. Of course. But aren’t we happy with businesses that flourish when also helping to shape a better city for everyone?

      3. Can’t agree with this view. The figure is factual. And it isn’t nothing, that is an exaggeration to absurdity. It is really really important to discuss the movement of change in stats when arguing about future investment and not just what has happened. Otherwise there is a tendency only build more of the same to satisfy a past need, which becomes a vicious circle. This of course is what we have been doing in AK. Also we can’t quote future numbers. This number reflects the trend and it has been remarkably consistent for a decade now, and it is used above to show that through our investment choices we actually shape demand. Furthermore because the 11 million annual rail trips [2011] are often at the peak and cover more distance than most commutes they clearly take off the pressure to build extreme capacity on the road network. Capacity that is the most expensive and is mostly unneeded, unless we insist on offering no option but to drive a car to and from work throughout the city. We can change the patterns of movement in Ak for the better, how do I know this? That number above. It is completely valid and if we can only stay the course the changes this decade will become seriously city transforming. We are only now where Perth started and can so do the same thing here.
      Perth v Auckland rail patronage

      1. Stu does have a point that previously the number of trips by rail was insignificantly small and that now, despite ballistic growth, the number of trips still gets lost in the rounding of the overall transport system. Citing huge growth does perhaps overstep the *current* impact of rail.
        However that alone belies the fact that rail trips are arguably some of the most ‘valuable’ to the city (in that they shift some of the longest car journeys off-road) and that the massive growth is an indicator of the value to citizens and the potential for rail to become a very significant mode of transport. Indeed quoting existing use to justify future investment will only result in a future network that is structurally the same as the current one. We are talking about planning after all, not reacting.

        Another thing to consider is a like for like comparison. Right now the Newmarket viaduct and southern motorway is fed by a catchment that extends pretty much right across the region, accessible to about a million car driving Aucklanders. If we are realistic about the southern rail line however the functional catchment is (currently) a much narrower band of city from Papakura to the CBD. A better comparison might be between the western rail line and new north road, two modes in the same locally-accessed corridor. I wonder how the usage and growth of those two compare?

        1. Also, if you sell red and green widgets, the bulk of your sales are red but their demand is static or falling. Demand for green is comparatively small but growing really fast. Which machine do you invest in to expand its production capacity?

        2. Peter Peter “strawman argument” eater – I’m not saying we should not be investing in rail; just that 384% growth (from a small base) is not a very strong justification ;).

        3. That is not a strawman argument it is a metaphor, or perhaps more accurately the kind of metaphor know as a simile. Anyway why the obsession with this fact?, as I say, as Peter amplifies with his metaphor, it is an indicator of a trend. And regardless of its starting point it shows a long and consist movement in one direction. I did not use it to try to claim that travel in Auckland is impossible without rail, but that change in travel patterns in Auckland is possible, has started and is continuing. And specifically that patronage will follow provision of quality options. The number is both true and supports those claims. I don’t get your problem here.

        4. Yes, it’s about the trend. It’s about what we could have not what we did have. What we should do, what is working, now. Business leaders and politicians love this phrase ‘moving forward’, funny really because it is the only direction we can move in, no amount of policy can ‘move backwards’ and alter the past, why is this important? Because if we believe the current or historic state is permanent it will clearly lead to nothing ever ‘moving forward’ or changing, it is the favourite one of the previous transport Minister too. And it is circular: ‘Look everyone is driving, we must build more roads’. When it really is; ‘Look all we did was build roads, and everyone is driving, is this the best outcome for us all? Also this ‘stuck’ non-dynamic reading of stats leads to false attributions: claims that Aucklanders have some kind of unique genetic makeup that means we have a peculiar and virtually erotic attachment to cars rather than simply being as rational as every other community on the planet and have chosen the only well funded and more complete network, so no point in investing in anything else. That number above is essential in proving that this is frankly not the case, yes it is a strange little fractured and incomplete network, but with further investment like the CRL it can be turned into a huge game changer for Auckland. Like it did for Perth above.

          The Southern could be, will be, a catchment for a much wider part of the city once we are able to run it properly, to integrate the stations with feeder buses etc. You know the potential that we have been ignoring on the separate right of way of the existing rail network, and what it needs to continue the growth it’s had from its near death from neglect. Important to move beyond how underused it became; as the facts of it’s rebirth are there and are more relevant.

        5. Patrick, perhaps you mistook the thrust of my post above but I am very much in agreement with you and not wedded to anything!

          I said that “citing huge growth does perhaps overstep the *current* impact of rail” but also “that alone belies… the potential for rail to become a very significant mode of transport.” Which I followed up with the suggestion that “quoting existing use to justify future investment will only result in a future network that is structurally the same as the current one. We are talking about planning after all, not reacting.”

          And yes my comment about the southern line was pointing out that there is huge potential for sustained growth in that corridor (if we improve access to it), compared to the southern motorway which is already at the peak of its reach and capacity.

      2. My original comment has been taken somewhat out of context: I am NOT arguing against investment in rail, for the reasons other note above. I AM suggesting that large % figures (especially when starting from a low base) are not very compelling when making transport investment decisions.

        To use another transport example: If vehicle volumes on Auckland’s state highway network was growing at just 2% per year, that would equate to many more additional trips than 15% growth on the rail network, even if these respective growth rates continued for hundreds of years.

        To put the black hat on (at the risk of getting shouted out of town): Given the huge $$$ investment in Auckland’s rail over the last few years, you would expect those high growth rates would you not? I.e. anything less would signify the investment was a real failure.

        1. Yeah considering the cost of Britomart + Project DART + Electrification + EMUs + station upgrades + SA train refurbishment probably comes to well over $2 billion of expenditure on the Auckland rail network over the past decade, anything less than spectacular patronage increase would be bad bad news.

          Now, anyone know what rail patronage projections were when Britomart opened? What was its cost-benefit ratio? There were barely 1000 peak time trips then.

        2. Yes it would be bad, but that is not what happened, and importantly now having revived the patient we are poised on the edge of it contributing some serious heavy lifting to the mobility of Aucklanders and you guys are all quibbling over something that clearly we should be celebrating and half sounding like you regret this good news [despite protestations to the contrary]. This is a fact, I am not making over stretched claims from it, please can we discuss something that actually matters here?

          Mr A, yes, that work you list does indeed mean that we must keep up the necessary changes to continue this growth in order to get full value out of these investments. And there are more things that will continue to enable this to happen, the opening of Manukau City Station, the upgrade and connection with buses there and at Panmure. And in a few years, at last, electrification. The concern is, of course, that without the CRL it will be impossible to fully realise the full value that is dormant in the rail ROW:

          http://publicaddress.net/speaker/why-auckland-and-new-zealand-needs-the-city/http://publicaddress.net/speaker/why-auckland-and-new-zealand-needs-the-city/

        3. Here are the projections in the 2006 rail development plan which show what the projections and actuals were up to that time

          I have also seen one with updated projections and actual results as of 2010 but can’t remember where I found it at this stage. Basically we are tracking on at the level predicted even though the expected funding hasn’t all been available i.e. Manukau was predicted to be opened in 2010, higher service frequencies were predicted to have happened around then as well etc.

        4. Patrick, while it is a fact, it’s not one that I would use to argue for deferring investment in roads, that’s all I was trying to point out. The phrase “lies, damned lies and statistics” springs to mind.

          While I am enthusiastic about PT’s recent growth it is also a “fact” that we could shut the rail network down tomorrow and it would not have a major impact on highway volumes (compared to, say, school holidays). I don’t see that as reason to despair – far from it – but it does provide some important context.

          This context is important because it highlights (at least to me) that PT patronage is likely to be impacted more by how we manage/price vehicles, than it ever will by our investment in PT. So I care less about the CRL, for example, than I do about parking reforms and road pricing. We could build the CRL and run free buses/trains and you still would not get the update you would get from more accurate vehicle pricing.

          So while people on this blog (and elsewhere) go on and on about PT investments, such as the CRL, they are to some degree losing the forest through the trees. And, finally, if not for constructive “quibbling” what are blogs for?

        5. For the last time, Stu: TREND. At least do me the favour of reading my answers to your ‘quibble’.

          I still struggle with your obsession with this; where are the real problems in the understanding of AK’s transport scene? That we have a government and a ministry who continue to promote traffic inducing policies ostensibly to solve congestion and a public that only gets to hear their views. Why not take your quibbling skills to that problem. That might be constructive. That the bold attempt to actually bring some balance to AK’s transport system by the mayor is under direct threat from people like Michael Barnett writing in the Herald, the subject of the piece above. That might be constructive.

          And remember that is growth that opponents to the investment have always said could never happen; damn right it is worth repeating. But not because it will do, but because it is just the beginning.

          Is it that you are determined that we are to be above reproach? Is that it? Well I disagree; If I have a useful fact I’m going to use it. It’s not a lie, nor even an exaggeration, but a tool to show that we must stay the course.

          Sorry if I come across a little grumpy here, but this is a distraction. I won’t answer again.

        6. Patrick I would say that what is more important is that the forecasts have been fairly accurate so far which surely gives more credibility to the councils forecasts done for the CRL

        7. “Yeah considering the cost […], anything less than spectacular patronage increase would be bad bad news.”

          Will it be the end of highway building in NZ if the numbers visiting northland don’t increase 384% in ten years after at least that much is spent on Joyces holiday highway (sorry i forget the official term for it).

  5. I have to agree with Mr Braid. If Tauranga can have an inland port in Auckland, how can POA not railonmtainers to an inland port. While i don’t see an issue in filling in the existing area of the p[ort, i can not agree to extending the wharf out another 250m further into the harbour.

  6. Right I am finally back after settling into our first home (and becoming ratepayers).

    Thanks for the post Patrick – good and interesting to see another take on the POAL situation.

    I ran an extensive post yesterday at my own blog site http://wp.me/p266na-7u about Mainfreight entering the debate.
    Although in saying that – for some of you I come totally left field in what I propose for POAL. But then again I am not the only one opting for relocating POAL. My posts on the issue outline my reasoning why.

    In the mean time this came across my FB http://www.facebook.com/yourportyourcall Seems the Herald is running a debate piece on the POAL saga

    1. Ben, while your comments are welcome here I must admit I’m getting slightly tired of you seemingly using the majority of your comments to direct people to your blog. That’s not the point of commenting.

      1. My apologies Josh

        Will not do that again (although I just did in another thread but I did not see your comment here and I can not edit my replies or delete them <_< )

        But from now on I wont link off to my own site.

  7. Barnett and his cronies seem to wield an awfully large amount of influence. Read through the Auckland Plan and all those stupid and pointless motorway projects he wants are in there.

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