Unfortunately there is a tendency in discussions on housing affordability to remain quite siloed. The government seems to be only concerned with land supply as the key to addressing affordability, financial commentators privilege access to loans and other financial instruments, and developers stress construction overheads and compliance costs. Other observers, like this blog, are keen to point out city regulations that inhibit compact and attached building typologies as barriers to better dwelling affordability. It is clear that all of these are important contributors to the problem and it is not my intention here to dismiss any of the above, but rather I want to add another that I think gets even less attention but that is just as important. Location specific overheads.

People aren’t stupid. When looking for somewhere to live they automatically calculate all the costs and benefits of any possible dwelling and the biggest single cost after the direct property costs [mortgage, rates, rents] is transportation. In fact consideration of transport costs is really indivisible from direct dwelling costs in calculation of affordability. Any analysis that fails to understand locational costs in addition to land, construction, and financing costs is likely to remain deeply flawed.

The Victoria Transport Policy Institute’s Todd Litman describes this as Affordable-Accessible Housing and discusses it throughly in this paper. What follows is a quick summary of this work.

Annualised Expenses

These figures are from Canada but there isn’t too much reason to believe that the general thrust wouldn’t also hold for Auckland. Vancouver like Auckland is doing well so therefore has a growing population and pressure on its existing housing stock. Also while Vancouver’s Public Transit systems are much better than Auckland’s it remains true for Auckland that service is better the closer to the centre you get, and it is therefore more possible and cheaper to get around using Public Transit in the inner suburbs and city. This balance is clearly reflected in dwelling prices too. People are clearly willing to pay more to avoid life on the motorways.

You can see that the construction costs are basically constant for each type but that the land and the transportation costs vary depending on the location. Land is more expensive as the location becomes more desirable, but transportation costs increases as the location moves further out. But also note that the biggest cost determinant is building size and type. So even the most expensive 100m^2 apartment is cheaper than the cheapest townhouse or detached house. Size does matter, as does type.

It is also important to note that both housing and transport costs form a greater proportion of people’s expenditure the poorer they are:

Housing and Transport Expenditure

Perhaps because the costs of car ownership are either minor or born by employers or absorbed as a business overhead by many players and commentators in the property field that the reality of these costs for those on lower incomes are too easily overlooked. When vehicle cost is either insignificant or not born directly then car ownership can is likely to be viewed as a source of pleasure and an opportunity for expression of status and individuality. This personal experience muddies the appreciation of the burdens of car ownership on many in an auto-dependant society. Car ownership and all its attendant costs are just assumed to be covered for ‘normal’ people. This is how locational overheads can be ignored.

This analysis is supported by the existence of available and keenly priced dwellings in fringe and distant locations. Why else do they remain undesirable? They are not in practice as affordable as they seem because their location is expensive to operate from. Isolation while sought after by those with the money and preference for lifestyle blocks is an expensive burden for those at the other end of the socio-economic scale.

Even if a dwelling is built cheaply on cheap land and comes with supported financing, it may still fail to be affordable in practice because of its separation from employment, education, medical, and other social amenity, particularly if it is underserved by Public Transport.

Experts recommend spending less than 32% of total household budget on housing (rents or mortgages, basic utilities and maintenance) and less than 18% on transportation, or 45% on housing and transport combined. Many lower- and middle-income households exceed these levels (Figure ES-1).

The most expensive form of transport for poorer households are private vehicles. If a dwelling is poorly connected to public services and employment then in order for adults to get to work, as well as for the elderly, children, and infirm in those households to function will be dependant on buying, maintaining, and running multiple vehicles. This section of society often gets into debt with private lenders over vehicles and over-extension on these loans can often be the source of default and failure to meet other commitments.  High transport cost due to the dispersed nature of habitation, employment, and services is a very real contributor the problem of people remaining trapped in negative income.

Careful consideration of the location of affordable housing as well the continued improvement in Public Transport services and attention to barriers to its use [cost, frequency and suitability of services] are two vital tools in improving the lives of all Aucklanders and the economic performance of the whole city. Transport poverty is a drain on productivity.

People who live or work in more accessible, multi-modal areas have better access to goods, services and activities, tend to own fewer vehicles, drive less, and rely more on alternative modes than in more automobile- oriented, sprawled communities.

Housing with more affordable locational attributes enable people to turn up to work more regularly, are more able to meet their housing payments, and are more likely to get family members to medical services earlier and whose children are more likely to arrive at school having had breakfast or at all.

Communities must respond to changing demands and conditions. Current demographic and economic trends are increasing demand for affordable-accessible housing, and increasing the benefits to society of accommodating this increased demand.

So in summary: To truly address the problem of housing affordability we need to address all of the following:

Land cost

Construction and Compliance cost

Locational cost

Financial barriers

The types of dwellings that are best suited to meeting all of these criteria are more likely to be smaller, attached dwellings on brownfields sites well served by public transport and local community services and facilitated by a fast tracked consenting and funding programme.

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35 comments

  1. Well said.

    By the way should be “sought after” not “sort after” in this line.

    “Isolation while sort after by those with the money and preference for lifestyle blocks is an expensive burden for those at the other end of the socio-economic scale.”

  2. Hi Patrick, Great post though I doubt those you list in the first paragraph will get down off their own high horses to walk a mile in the other man’s shoes to gain a wider appreciation of the issues, more’s the pity. An interesting build would be to put numbers of people in each of the income quintiles for Auckland. Hopefully this will be possible once the latest census gets published. I think that would see location cost rocket to the top of the pile based on numbers adversely affected.

  3. Perth improved its housing affordability (using Demographia Median Multiple) from 8.0 in 2006 to 5.9 in 2012.
    I do not know much about, but did Perth do this by increasing the size of it Inner Urban area by increasing the number of dwellings within a 30 minute rail commute to the centre & increase its Outer Urban Area by increasing the number of dwellings within 60 minute rail commute to the centre.

    1. That’s what Auckland needs to look at doing more of, some fancy new developments that are located on or near a fast and frequent rail service.

  4. If only the market was allowed to function unimpeded by regulation.

    http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2013/06/how_housing_became_unaffordable.html#comments

    I stopped reading at:

    “New Zealand is suffering a shortfall of houses caused by anti-development attitudes, tighter building regulations, and artificial restrictions on land supply.”

    Refers to a paper just published by a right wing think tank:

    http://nzinitiative.org.nz/site/nzbr/files/PRICED%20OUT%20-%20FULL%20RES.pdf

    1. Cameron, thanks for the link to Dr Bassett’s paper. I had to smile at your right wing quip, considering Dr Bassett was a Labour minister of local government at one time. (For those who didn’t click through, that quote was merely one of many findings of the paper).

      I take it you don’t agree with the bit you quoted, so presumably you can point to other reasons. It would be good to know what they are.

        1. Wow, that’s a bit harsh Patrick. I would have thought that Dr Bassett’s credentials as an historian spoke for themselves. I can understand a difference of opinion, but a personal attack?? See user guideline #3.

          That said, I compliment you on a great post. The trade-off between work and home location is of course well known in practice, but as you rightly say is seldom spoken of. Like many young marrieds, I started in a small box in the suburbs and travelled quite a distance to work, initially by train then in a company car. Over time the travel time became excessive and eventually I traded it for a more central location, with the associated capital investment. That was a conscious choice which I’m sure others have also made. I also know people who have done the opposite to free up capital, usually for a business or for retirement income.

          Of course an alternative to the suburban starter-house is a small inner-city apartment, which is fine for singles or couples but is less desirable for families.

        2. Yes I agree Dr Bassett’s reputation precedes him, as I said. No doubt he would not consider being called a Rogernome an insult, I agree with you that he should. As for betrayal I sure he rationalises that too, road to Damascus…. the bright and shining libertarian light… etc

          And I agree in practice that locational awareness is ubiquitous, but it disappears at policy level under the pressure of ideology. Remember that Americanism: ‘Drive till you qualify’? Meaning keep driving out of town until you reach your real estate price bracket. Of course that phrase is from a period of much cheaper fuel cost, especially in the US, and can only apply if transport costs are considered trivial.

  5. Why dont we then build lots more 100m2 apartments in inner city areas and sell them cheaper than single family homes on the suburban fringe? Is it soley becuase our developers yank up the prices to the max regardless of the location. Is it the planning rules stopping the development or another reason?

    Personally I would really like to live in a nice big 3 bedroom modern warm and dry apartment in the city, be car free and pay less than the house I currently live in.

    1. I don’t know, my 90m2 apartment was certainly much cheaper than a single family home on the fringe. I follow the apartment market closely and there is a lot of demand there, places are hotly contested and new builds sell like hotcakes.

      It must be some constraint on supply because it certainly isn’t a lack of demand.

    2. I was looking at buying a terraced house in Auckland and the agent told me that she can basically sell as many of them as can be built. I was also looking at apartments and there is just nothing around except in older buildings as no new larger apartments are being built.

      My theory is that most developers (well at least the ones I work with) are very rural, non-urban in their outlook and alsop quite unimaginative. They havent really lived overseas. As a result they neither understand or sympathise with a desire to live in the inner city. Their only development model (and the only place they would live personally) is a sprawling McMansion with a three car garage. So that is what they build.

      Another problem is that a lot of apartments were built with leaky home problems and so they are basically not on the market as no bank will lend on them.

      Interesting article on the effect of zoning on house prices, particularly addressing the pro-sprawl darling, Houston:
      http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=837244

        1. Interestingly they are struggling a bit to move the Isaac apartments, but not those at Urba http://urba.co.nz/ which are going like hotcakes. The Urba apartments are a little smaller, more keenly priced, and more centrally located. And crucially HAVE NO BUNDLED PARKING. A small number of carparks [55 I think, are being sold separately, and have sold well]. Reducing the construction spend on parking and banking some economies of scale through the size of the development has enabled them to price the apartments keenly.

          Isaac suffers from just being out of Grey Lynn I think, possibly missing out by as little as being on the wrong side of the road. Shame as it really is a good model for that whole ridge all the way along GNR to K’Rd.

          Build quality may be higher at Isaac, hard to know till they see Urba built but Conrad Properties are not new kids on the block… interesting to watch, it looks to me like we are entering a new phase of city residential building: Best hopes for higher quality than last time, have the lessons been learnt?

          Anecdotally I meet a lot of people who are very keen on apartment and city living in Auckland but they just can’t find anything good enough. This suggests there is an unsatisfied market out there, but it’s a very tricky one. I think once the price gets close to similar price for a detached house, even one in a completely different area the options for these buyers become huge and they are subject to a real test of their priorities. This is probably happening with the Isaac; not true inner city, or even Ponsonby living, but at a cost comparable to the known quantities of a detached house further out. And most would view The Isaac as still a driving location. Not so Urba which is properly inner city…. interesting.

        2. Sailor- why start a fight you can’t win?

          I don’t even know if you live in GL, I do. And I’m trying to buy, so I keep a very keen eye on what’s happening. If you’d like to post some apartments for sale that are more representative- please go ahead…

        3. Bit more detail on Urba:

          16 apartments x nine levels ≠ 143 apartments mostly 2 beds, all around a central courtyard, gym, lap pool. All with own covered terrace. 143 new households in the city. Say conservatively 300 more true urbanites on the way. Mostly owner occupiers according to the salesdude. A mixture of downsizers selling their detached houses and banking the diff. [he specifically mentioned Pt Chev as a source location], some more distant suburbanites buying for their Uni Student kids to rent and then as investment or somewhere for them to end up.

          Construction not signed up yet but being brought forward because of strong sales. I would be very surprised if this process could be matched by a Greenfields ex-urban development for speed.

          Interestingly the most expensive apartments are sub 800k, which is the figure I intuit to be a bit of a cutoff for apartments unless right on the water or with some other stunning attribute.

          All the car parks have sold @ 65k+!

        4. Yeah I agree with new apartments they are either top end luxury or low end and really just intended for students. Obviously anything around Grey Lynn is going to be priced at a premium. Of course the more are built the less that premium will be.

          The best buys I found when looking were in older apartment blocks but they are hard to find. Alos the equity ratios required by the banks make it very hard.

          What I would like to see are more of the 3-4 storey walk up apartment blocks with a couple of apartments per floor. You can then have some green space and they can be great places. I lived in some in Europe and loved it.

        5. That describes the exact location I want to live in.

          Shame we are only going to see sprawl for the next 30 years because of the NIMBYS. That said, Vienna, London, Paris, Frankfurt, Munch all have those…

  6. Page 2 of that Victoria report you link to Patrick, I think you may have just provided the Herald with the illustration for their next anti-unitary plan piece…

    1. Yes I’m afraid like many planners and other number crunchers Litmann has zero to negative visual sense. You can see that by the graphics and layout of his whole site, and especially the dreadful ‘snaps’ he uses. There is a school of thought that argues there is value in looking this visually hopeless and un-slick; it may lift the impression of the seriousness and earnestness of the work….? I dunno, I think it just looks bloody awful. Interestingly later in the week I’m going to running a very visually savvy post for comparison….

  7. What I would like to see is a fair comparison of like for like. Right now these figures are like comparing the costs of shoes at 2 shops where at one my get some rubber sandles and they other you get the finest hand made Italian leather ones you can find.

  8. Nice post Patrick – timely given the release of Bassett’s book. I suggest you submit a more concise version (about 800 words if you can manage that) for Herald Dialogue page.

  9. Nice post. If we could price carbon properly then the higher transport component would sway it even further in favour of inner urban locations.
    Also, I don’t think people do know what their cars cost to run- I reckon a survey of friends who don’t read this blog or every page of AA Directions would see them all guess low.

  10. There was an article in the Dominion Post a few weeks ago, about a ‘poor’ family in Porirua and the difficulty they had in balancing their meagre income with outgoings. But when you looked at the weekly breakdown of their costs, the problem was instantly obvious: The largest weekly outgoing (even larger than their rent) was car-repayments. Add to this the sums for petrol, maintenance, licensing, etc and the cost to that family of running this car was OVER HALF THEIR OUTGOINGS! But what disturbed me most is that the article failed to seriously critique this, or the deeper reasons for it happening. Society (under National) just ‘expects’ that everyone must have a car, and transport policy is engineered accordingly. Sure, this family could/should have got a cheaper car, but the option of doing without one is rarely considered, largely because it is not supported by infrastructure to facilitate it. Steven Joyce used to say that he supported people having choice. But the policies he initiated are further eroding any real choice for people in the situation of this family. And I see no sign that the National Govt has any answer for this.

    1. Spot on DaveB. You realise how out of touch with reality and auto dependent NZ is when I see comments on ATB suggesting that increasing access to and the performance of public transport is for the of the rich.

      The fact that a use of a car has come to be seen as for the less well paid in this country is a sad indictment of the failure of successive governments after 1955 (not just National) to break our auto dependency.

      I found this article an informative but infuriating explanation of how we got there. Such a shame that the successful system developed for Wellington wasnt rolled out to Chch and AKL – what a different country this could be:
      http://www.bettertransport.org.nz/2007/10/slow-train-coming/

  11. Good to look at transport costs, but a major blunder has been made here.
    Elites tax cars and fuel and roads heavily and then force poorer people to use them excessively while subsidising rail which raises land price near railway stations which benefits land-owning elites.
    Understand this and you might then be able to draw some sensible conclusions and suggest a way to help the poorer people. The best way is a “railway access fee” that is charged to all land owners near railway stations. This fee could then be spent on reducing the taxes (car, petrol, licenses, tolls) paid by poorer people who cannot afford to live near railway stations.

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